The market moved

-2.8ppin 24h · now 13¢

Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $2.8K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #1 netflix show in the united states — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 10.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.8pp · Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Orrery