The market moved
-1.9ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $259.39
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://maps.app.goo.gl/vXBbP9idYDbbC21RA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.