The market moved

-2.1ppin 24h · now

Will Sam Couvillon be the Republican nominee for GA-09?

Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $126.60

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the ga-09 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in th — https://rnc.org/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.