The market moved

-55.5ppin 24h · now 31¢

Will Secret Whales qualify for EWC 2026?

Sports · resolves May 20 · vol $116.55

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 55.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://esportsworldcup.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 33.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.