The market moved

-1.4ppin 24h · now

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Entertainment · resolves May 19 · vol $442.28

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #1 global netflix show — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.