The market moved
+50.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Situational Awareness add Micron to its March 31, 2026 13F?
Other · resolves May 15 · vol $153.39
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 50.4pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing — https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=2045724).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.