The market moved

+14.5ppin 24h · now 95¢

Will "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $325.56

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 95¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @eslcs — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @ESLCS — https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+14.5pp · Will "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals? | Orrery