The market moved
-0.9ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,300 and $7,400 on May 26, 2026?
Macro · resolves May 26 · vol $2.5K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official opening price for s&p 500 (spx) on tuesday, may 26, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official opening price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 21.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.