The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 8 launches in May?
Science · resolves May 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of spacex launches between may 1, 2026, 12:00am et and may 31, 2026, 11:59pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET — https://www.spacex.com/launches.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.