The market moved

+2.7ppin 24h · now

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?

Business · open · vol $568.90

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+2.7pp · Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T? | Orrery