The market moved

-2.3ppin 24h · now

Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Entertainment · resolves May 19 · vol $203.36

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on which movie this update ranks as the #2 netflix movie in the united states — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.