The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now 69¢

Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?

Entertainment · resolves Dec 31 · vol $4.44

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 69¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.