The market moved
-0.7ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 19 · vol $101.55
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the key rate resulting from the bank of russia’s june meeting, relative to the level it was prior to th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to th — https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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