The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 87¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Macro · resolves Jun 11 · vol $182.87
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on ecb — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: ECB — https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.