The market moved

-0.2ppin 24h · now

Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Politics · resolves Jun 6 · vol $221.14

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://ine.mx/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.