The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 6¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.