The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 18¢

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Politics · resolves Sep 13 · vol $113.56

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.val.se/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.