The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 78¢
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $4.49
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 78¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.