The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on associated press — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Associated Press.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.