The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 29¢

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Other · resolves Jul 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 29¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @hierarchicalz95 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @hierarchicalz95 — https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy].
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision? | Orrery