The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.