The market moved
-24.5ppin 24h · now 48¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
Other · resolves May 17 · vol $9.77
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 48¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on tsa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: tsa.gov — https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.