Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi) over the 12-month period ending december 2026, according to t — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to t — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.