The market moved
+21.5ppin 24h · now 82¢
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Politics · resolves Dec 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 82¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 21.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.ane-rca.org/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.