The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 54¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 54¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the freddie mac weekly primary mortgage market survey — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey — https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.