The market moved

-8.5ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Culture · resolves Jan 31 · vol $54.95

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.