The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $8.57
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on treasury department — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Treasury Department — https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.