The market moved
-0.8ppin 24h · now 96¢
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $269.61
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 96¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc case counter by may 31, 2026, 11:59 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET — https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.