The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 53¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Weather · resolves May 31 · vol $311.03
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 53¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.