The market moved

+95.3ppin 24h · now 95¢

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $2.6K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 95¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 95.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+95.3pp · Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? | Orrery