The market moved

-33.1ppin 24h · now

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $4.4K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 33.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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-33.1pp · Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? | Orrery