The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 16¢

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Weather · resolves May 24 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+1.0pp · Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24? | Orrery