The market moved
+7.0ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Weather · resolves May 31 · vol $163.76
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 21¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.