The market moved
-30.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $3.6K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.