The market moved

-19.0ppin 24h · now 26¢

Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Culture · resolves Jan 1 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-19.0pp · Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | Orrery