The market moved
-14.5ppin 24h · now 68¢
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $173.95
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 68¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.