The market moved
-20.0ppin 24h · now 26¢
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $70.70
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.