The market moved

-24.5ppin 24h · now 47¢

Will Trump post "Sleepy Joe" on Truth Social this week?

Politics · resolves May 24 · vol $81.56

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-24.5pp · Will Trump post "Sleepy Joe" on Truth Social this week? | Orrery