Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 40¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.0pp shift. Resolution depends on lohud.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: disputed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: lohud.com — https://www.lohud.com/story/news/2026/05/20/trumps-rockland-county-visit-what-to-know/90173651007/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• UMA resolution status is "disputed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.