The market moved
+5.5ppin 24h · now 36¢
Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $77.45
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 36¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.