The market moved

-61.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?

Politics · resolves May 20 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 61.0pp shift. Resolution depends on 9news.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: 9news.com — https://www.9news.com/article/news/politics/national-politics/president-trump-keynote-coast-guard-academy-graduation/507-8b10f608-7ffa-402b-a3ec-6b13bae6d179).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.