Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 68¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

• No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.