The market moved
+8.2ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 22 · vol $483.59
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on may 22, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 22, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.