The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?

Politics · resolves May 26 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.