The market moved
-8.2ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Macro · resolves Jan 29 · vol $7.42
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.2pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of economic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Economic — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.