The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Macro · resolves Jan 10 · vol $9.63
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.