The market moved

-15.3ppin 24h · now 39¢

Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?

Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $879.24

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the daily finalized free-market usd exchange rate as displayed on bonbast (https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.