The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $2.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the daily finalized free-market usd exchange rate as displayed on bonbast (https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www — https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.