The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Politics · resolves Aug 14 · vol $16.85
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first individual to be formally nominated by the republican party for vice president of the united states in the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the — https://www.gop.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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