Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 colombia presidential election, defined as the total — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total — https://registraduria.gov.co).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.